FA Cup 1/128
Global 5-6
AFC Bournemouth vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
6 - 0
BOU
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 0
SCU
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PNE
1 - 3
BOU
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 2
BCF
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 3
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
GIL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 0
GIL
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 0
OXF
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 5
GIL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |