AFC Bournemouth vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALD
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
ROT
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
4 - 0
BOU
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BCF
0 - 3
BOU
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
CRE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GRI
0 - 4
CRE
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
BPO
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
DAG
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |