AFC Bournemouth vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
OXF
1 - 2
BOU
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
BOU
1 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
BOU
2 - 4
BBU
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
CRE
0 - 1
BOU
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
MID
2 - 1
BOU
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
CRE
0 - 1
BOU
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
CHE
0 - 2
CRE
54%
22%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
CRE
4 - 0
CHE
59%
21%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
CRE
2 - 3
ASV
16%
19%
65%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
RUN
0 - 3
CRE
41%
23%
35%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |