AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 0
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
CRY
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 0
BOU
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOU
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 0
EVE
36%
25%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 2
BUR
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 0
BIR
69%
20%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MUD
2 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 1
MID
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |