AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 3
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 0
BOU
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 3
SOU
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 0
LEI
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 2
BOU
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
CRY
70%
19%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
27%
24%
50%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |