AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CRY
1 - 2
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
BOU
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 3
WHU
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
BUR
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 1
CHL
42%
26%
33%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
STO
0 - 0
ARS
23%
24%
52%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 3
ARS
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |