AFC Arhem vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 2
ARH
54%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARH
4 - 0
RKH
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 1
ARH
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RHE
1 - 3
ARH
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ARH
2 - 0
AWC
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUL
2 - 0
FVC
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FVC
0 - 2
MSC
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
FVC
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FVC
0 - 1
RKH
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FVC
1 - 2
SPO
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |