AFC Arhem vs AWC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 3
ARH
15%
20%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARH
2 - 2
HOO
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SIL
0 - 3
ARH
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARH
3 - 0
ACH
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
ARH
35%
23%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BEM
0 - 1
AWC
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AWC
2 - 1
RHE
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AWC
3 - 2
RIG
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
AWC
29%
23%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AWC
0 - 0
HOO
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |