AFC '34 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
FCB
72%
16%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DEM
1 - 1
AFC
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PUR
0 - 1
AFC
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NVC
1 - 3
AFC
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
4 - 1
ROD
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USV
3 - 2
JOS
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DEZ
7 - 0
USV
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
USV
0 - 1
NVC
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USV
2 - 2
FCB
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
2 - 1
USV
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |