AFC '34 vs Pancratius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PUR
4 - 1
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 3
USV
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
DWV
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HOO
1 - 1
AFC
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEZ
5 - 0
AFC
67%
18%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 1
FCB
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 0
PUR
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
USV
5 - 1
PAN
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 2
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DWV
0 - 2
PAN
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |