Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
NEA
20%
23%
56%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LID
2 - 2
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
LID
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |