AFAD vs Stella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STA
1 - 0
AFA
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AFA
2 - 1
SAP
36%
28%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
LYS
0 - 1
AFA
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DEN
1 - 2
AFA
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
AFA
1 - 1
SOA
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STE
0 - 2
KOR
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 1
STE
27%
26%
46%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
STE
0 - 1
BOU
41%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
STE
1 - 0
STA
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
ISC
0 - 1
STE
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |