AFA Umurama vs São José PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Umurama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 5
AFA
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
AFA
0 - 2
PRU
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
AFA
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
FRB
2 - 2
AFA
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AFA
0 - 1
ARA
15%
21%
64%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
São José PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 5
SJP
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
SJP
0 - 4
ROM
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SJP
1 - 1
OPE
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 59 | 49 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
SJP
1 - 2
PRU
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
SJP
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | +2 |