AF Virois vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
9º
2º
32
4º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
USF
1 - 0
AFV
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 1
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 1
AFV
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
AFV
3 - 4
LOR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
3 - 3
AFV
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
FLE
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
USF
3 - 2
VAN
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 1
PLA
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ERG
0 - 3
VAN
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |