AF Virois vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
9º
2º
21
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 1
AFV
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
AFV
3 - 4
LOR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
3 - 3
AFV
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 1
LAN
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
STA
1 - 1
AFV
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 2
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 1
PLA
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
2 - 1
USF
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PLA
3 - 3
FLE
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ERG
3 - 1
PLA
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |