AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
7º
5º
57
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 1
BYL
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EGN
3 - 1
ELB
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 1
TIR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 1
ILI
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
ELB
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
VLZ
2 - 3
DIN
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
BYL
1 - 0
VLZ
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VLZ
2 - 1
TEU
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EGN
1 - 1
VLZ
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VLZ
2 - 0
KFS
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |