AF Elbasani vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
ELB
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 5
DIN
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
0 - 0
ELB
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 1
KFS
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 2
ILI
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
ILI
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ILI
6 - 1
SOP
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ILI
2 - 0
TER
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SOP
2 - 0
ILI
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |