Aerostar Bacău vs Sporting Lieşti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
4º
4º
54
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AUB
2 - 0
AER
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
AER
3 - 3
TSE
58%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
AER
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TSE
4 - 1
AER
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
AER
2 - 0
AUB
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Sporting Lieşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TSE
0 - 0
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 1
AUB
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
AER
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 2
SPO
14%
17%
69%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
AVC
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |