Aerostar Bacău vs Sporting Lieşti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
7º
3º
39
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
91.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SSG
3 - 0
AER
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
AER
1 - 2
DUB
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AER
4 - 0
RAM
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
AER
6 - 1
TSE
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 0
AER
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Lieşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAM
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TSE
0 - 1
SPO
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
AUB
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
6 - 0
CSA
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AVC
1 - 4
SPO
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |