AEP Polemidion vs Leivadia 2022 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+233%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Polemidion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
POL
2 - 4
AEP
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AEP
1 - 0
DOX
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
AEP
1 - 0
ASP
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
OMP
2 - 2
AEP
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AEP
2 - 1
GER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leivadia 2022
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LEI
1 - 1
ASP
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
OMP
2 - 1
LEI
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LEI
0 - 0
GER
31%
23%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORM
1 - 0
LEI
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DOX
4 - 1
LEI
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |