AEP Polemidion vs Ethnikos Assias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
8º
8º
12
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Polemidion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
2 - 2
AEP
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
DIG
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEP
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
AEP
21%
24%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Assias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 3
ASP
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
2 - 0
ETH
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 2
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DIG
3 - 0
ETH
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 1
ORM
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |