AEP Polemidion vs ENAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
8º
8º
33
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Polemidion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AEP
1 - 2
ETH
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
2 - 2
AEP
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
DIG
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEP
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ENAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ENA
1 - 0
ASI
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
DIG
1 - 3
ENA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ENA
1 - 0
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 2
ENA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ENA
3 - 1
APE
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |