AEP Polemidion vs Digenis Morphou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
8º
8º
28
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Polemidion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 0
AEP
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
AEP
21%
24%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AEP
3 - 1
APE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
KOU
0 - 1
AEP
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIG
1 - 1
ASI
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DIG
3 - 0
ETH
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
DIG
2 - 1
APE
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 2
DIG
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
DIG
2 - 0
IRA
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |