AEM SE vs Alfarras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PUI
1 - 2
AEM
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AEM
1 - 0
SOS
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AIT
2 - 1
AEM
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AEM
6 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
AEM
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TER
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 3
ALF
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
ALM
41%
21%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
ALF
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 0
PAN
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |