AEM SE A vs Vilanova de la Barca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PUI
1 - 1
AEM
40%
22%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PUI
5 - 2
AEM
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AEM
6 - 0
TOR
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
AEM
52%
20%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AEM
0 - 1
ALM
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vilanova de la Barca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ALC
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
ALC
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
5 - 2
VIL
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 1
VIL
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 3
TOR
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |