AEM SE A vs Vilanova de la Barca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALP
6 - 1
AEM
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AEM
3 - 1
ALC
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 6
AEM
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VCC
0 - 0
AEM
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
AEM
5 - 0
RIB
93%
5%
2%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vilanova de la Barca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOR
64%
17%
19%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALC
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAR
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
VIL
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |