AEM SE A vs Ponent ACR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
COL
3 - 4
AEM
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
AEM
6 - 1
ALF
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AEM
1 - 0
ALB
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 3
AEM
5%
12%
84%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
AEM
1 - 1
BOR
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponent ACR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAC
2 - 3
RIA
27%
20%
53%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
VCC
35%
22%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAC
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PAC
5 - 1
RIB
43%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
COL
4 - 1
PAC
71%
15%
14%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |