AEM SE A vs Pinyana 2021 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
AEM
42%
21%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AEM
3 - 0
ALP
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
AEM
26%
21%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AEM
3 - 1
ROS
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AEM
3 - 1
PUI
64%
17%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pinyana 2021
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PYA
3 - 0
ALP
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 0
PYA
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PYA
0 - 3
ROS
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PUI
0 - 0
PYA
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PYA
2 - 1
TOR
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |