AEM SE A vs Alpicat C B B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
AEM
26%
21%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AEM
3 - 1
ROS
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AEM
3 - 1
PUI
64%
17%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 5
AEM
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AEM
1 - 1
ALB
57%
19%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alpicat C B B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
ALP
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 2
ALC
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
5 - 1
ROS
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PUI
1 - 0
ALP
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
TOR
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |