AEM SE A vs Alcoletge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+138%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 6
AEM
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VCC
0 - 0
AEM
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
AEM
5 - 0
RIB
93%
5%
2%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 8
AEM
7%
13%
81%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AEM
3 - 0
MIR
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoletge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 1
ALP
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
ROS
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
ALC
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALB
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 2
ALM
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |