Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 10-0
AEL Limassol vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JOS
0 - 4
AEL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AEL
3 - 2
OMO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 1
AEL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
AEL
2 - 0
ANO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AEL
1 - 4
APO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JOS
0 - 4
AEL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
JOS
0 - 1
LRI
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
JOS
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
JOS
9 - 0
EUR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CEU
2 - 1
JOS
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |