Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-1
AEL Limassol vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 1
AEL
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
AEL
6 - 0
JOS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JOS
0 - 4
AEL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AEL
3 - 2
OMO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 1
AEL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
0 - 1
AEL
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
GLA
22%
23%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 0
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RAC
4 - 5
PRO
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PRO
4 - 1
LXC
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |