AEL Limassol vs Doxa Katokopias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
8º
7º
39
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
AEL
0 - 1
OMO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ENO
3 - 0
AEL
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
AEL
3 - 0
KAR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ANO
2 - 0
AEL
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
AKR
1 - 0
AEL
20%
28%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
NEA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 2
DOX
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
DOX
1 - 3
AKR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 1
ENO
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
DOX
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |