AEK Larnaca vs Doxa Katokopias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
10º
2º
30
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
AEK
3 - 0
SKD
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SKD
1 - 2
AEK
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
AEK
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
AEK
2 - 1
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 1
MID
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PAF
1 - 0
DOX
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ANO
0 - 0
DOX
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DOX
0 - 2
AEL
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
DOX
3 - 1
OLY
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
DOX
1 - 0
APO
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |