AEK Larnaca vs Digenis Morphou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
OMO
0 - 0
AEK
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ARI
0 - 1
AEK
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
AEK
1 - 1
ENO
50%
23%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NEA
2 - 0
AEK
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
AEK
0 - 2
ALK
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AEL
0 - 1
DIG
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
OMO
1 - 0
DIG
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
DIG
2 - 0
ARI
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
ENO
1 - 0
DIG
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
DIG
1 - 1
NEA
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |