AEK Larnaca vs Digenis Morphou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ONI
0 - 1
AEK
22%
23%
56%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
AEK
0 - 1
APO
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ANO
4 - 1
AEK
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
AEK
2 - 3
ETH
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ANA
0 - 1
AEK
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
DIG
1 - 0
PAF
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
OMO
4 - 0
DIG
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
DIG
1 - 1
ENO
29%
24%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
DIG
0 - 2
APO
7%
17%
76%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ONI
0 - 0
DIG
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |