AEK Larnaca vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
5º
2º
54
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 11 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
OMO
0 - 0
AEK
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 0
AEK
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 1
OMO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAF
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
APO
1 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
APO
0 - 0
APO
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
APO
2 - 1
ARI
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
APO
1 - 1
OMO
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PAF
0 - 1
APO
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |