AEK Athens vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAO
3 - 0
AEK
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
XAN
3 - 4
AEK
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AEK
1 - 0
ERG
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
AND
4 - 1
AEK
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
DTB
1 - 1
AEK
55%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 1
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
WEI
0 - 4
STR
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
STR
1 - 1
WIN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
STR
1 - 2
LOK
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AWM
4 - 2
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |