UCL 1/16
Global 5-4
AEK Athens vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
AEK
2 - 1
ETH
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAO
1 - 1
AEK
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
SGD
1 - 0
AEK
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAN
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
AEK
0 - 0
PAO
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1989 |
SGD
3 - 1
ERF
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
CZJ
1 - 1
SGD
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
SGD
1 - 0
AEK
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
SGD
3 - 0
BWA
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1989 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
21%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |