Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-3
AEK Athens vs Omonia Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAN
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
PAN
2 - 2
AEK
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
PAN
4 - 1
AEK
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 2
OMO
31%
22%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
OMO
2 - 0
MIL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
AEK
5 - 3
OMO
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
APO
2 - 0
OMO
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
APO
2 - 2
OMO
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |