Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-6
AEK Athens vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 3
PAO
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 0
AEK
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
0 - 1
OLP
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
OLP
6 - 0
AEK
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 3
AEK
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
OLP
4 - 2
PAN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OLP
2 - 1
BOG
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
OLP
1 - 0
OFI
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
BOG
3 - 0
OLP
72%
16%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
0 - 1
OLP
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |