UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 3-2
AEK Athens vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
AIG
0 - 1
AEK
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
AEK
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
AEK
4 - 2
PAN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 2
AEK
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
PAO
1 - 1
AEK
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
STG
1 - 2
GCZ
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
AEK
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
THU
3 - 2
GCZ
23%
22%
56%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |