Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-1
AEK Athens vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 2
AEK
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
AEK
0 - 0
IST
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
LAM
0 - 1
AEK
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AEK
2 - 0
VNF
92%
7%
2%
|
84 | 41 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
AEK
1 - 1
STA
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 1
SSG
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 2
AEK
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
CSU
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 0
BUD
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CSU
1 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |