AEK Athens B vs Almopos Aridea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
11º
4º
0
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
PTF
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
AEK
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 0
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
MAK
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MKN
1 - 1
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almopos Aridea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
THE
0 - 5
ALA
29%
27%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
APL
67%
22%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NIK
0 - 0
ALA
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
PTF
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 0
ALA
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |