Atenas vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 3
ATE
30%
25%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 1
CSM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATE
2 - 3
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
ATE
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATE
2 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CSM
0 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |