Atenas vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
DEP
0 - 0
ATE
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ATE
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
RAC
0 - 1
ATE
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ATE
0 - 1
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PLA
2 - 2
ATE
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 4
PLA
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 2
SUD
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
ETS
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CER
1 - 1
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |