Aegean Hawks vs Salem City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegean Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
AEH
0 - 1
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
PNN
4 - 0
AEH
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 1
RMA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
JER
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
RMA
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
WES
1 - 3
CAR
36%
24%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
CAR
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |