AE Lefkimmi vs Thyella Katsika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
17º
14º
45
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Lefkimmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AGN
1 - 0
AEL
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AEL
0 - 1
KIL
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AEL
2 - 4
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TIL
2 - 0
AEL
74%
18%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
AEL
3 - 1
ASA
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Thyella Katsika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
4 - 1
POF
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ENK
1 - 0
PAS
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 1
PIE
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 0
KER
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
ASM
3 - 0
PAS
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |