AE Garibaldi vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
72.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
AEG
1 - 1
ESP
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
AEG
73%
18%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 2
AEG
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AEG
0 - 0
GFC
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
AEG
0 - 2
BRA
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
13 - 0
SAP
71%
20%
9%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAP
0 - 4
AIM
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAP
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
IGR
1 - 0
SAP
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 1
IGR
50%
22%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |