AE Garibaldi vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 2
AEG
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AEG
2 - 2
CAC
37%
24%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
AEG
2 - 3
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AIM
2 - 0
AEG
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
LAJ
2 - 1
AEG
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAP
1 - 3
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 0
SAP
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAP
2 - 1
AIM
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SAP
1 - 0
LAJ
46%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAP
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |